Argues that there are powerful domestic and international factors, especially in the military and security realms, that could well push the bilateral relationship toward an arms race and confrontation, even though both sides will be far worse off if such a future comes to pass.

Acknowledgments ix Chapter 1. Introduction 1 Part I: The Cause for Concern Chapter 2. The Sources of Conflict 17 Chapter 3. The Determinants of Chinese Strategy 29 Chapter 4. The Determinants of American Strategy 48 Part II: Strategic Reassurance in Practice Chapter 5. Military Spending and Military Modernization 77 Chapter 6. Military Contingencies: Enhancing Crisis Stability 120 Chapter 7. The Strategic Domain: Nuclear, Space, and Cyber 150 Chapter 8. Bases, Deployments, and Operations 182 Chapter 9. Conclusion 203 Appendix A. Summary of Specific Recommendations 209 Appendix B. Naval Vessels of the United States and China 213 Notes 215 Index 257

"The United States and China are locked in an increasingly intense strategic rivalry. In their thought-provoking new book, Steinberg and O'Hanlon seek ways to prevent this competition from spiraling out of control. While acknowledging the obstacles and potential risks, the authors offer concrete proposals aimed at promoting transparency, restraint, and stability. Their ideas deserve to be discussed and debated, in Beijing as well as Washington."—Aaron L. Friedberg, Princeton University"A highly informed and realistic analysis of U.S.-China relations that avoids premature fatalism and Pollyannish optimism. It offers a bold strategy based on developing a common framework of cooperation benefiting both countries while still standing up for American interests and allies. The authors further undertake the hard work of offering concrete examples of where such cooperative opportunities might be found. A must-read for anyone interested in the future of U.S.-China relations."—Stephen J. Hadley, former national security advisor to President George W. Bush"This excellent book makes an elegant statement on the stakes involved in achieving strategic coexistence between the established power, the United States, and the rising power, China. The authors provide a specific set of guidelines for avoiding unnecessary competition."—Patrick M. Cronin, Center for a New American Security"Strategic Reassurance and Resolve argues that major armed conflict between the United States and China is far from inevitable and moreover, that concrete steps can be taken to avoid such an outcome. Offering numerous recommendations and proposals, this effectively organized and well-written book offers an important contribution to the debate on China's rise and U.S. policy."—M. Taylor Fravel, author of Strong Borders, Secure Nation