Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.
Les mer
1. Do Polls Matter?; 2. Methodology and Assessment; 3. The Effects of Polls on the Search for Campaign Information; 4. The Effects of Polls on Vote Choice; 5. Conclusion.
This Element provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.
Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9781108792462
Publisert
2021-10-07
Utgiver
Vendor
Cambridge University Press
Vekt
145 gr
Høyde
228 mm
Bredde
151 mm
Dybde
6 mm
Aldersnivå
G, 01
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Heftet
Antall sider
75