A valuable reference book and a model of quantitative analysis and sound prediction.
Foreign Affairs
Twenty-First Century India is the first study of India's development giving a fully integrated account of population and development. It is built on new projections of the population for fifty years from the Census of 2001. India's population then had already passed 1 billion. Twenty-five years later it will exceed 1.4 billion, and will almost certainly pass 1.5 billion by mid-century. The projections incorporate for the first time both inter-state migration and the role of HIV/AIDS. They also show India's urban future, with close to half a billion urban inhabitants by the year 2026.
The implications of this population growth are then traced out in a range of modelling and analytical work. Growing numbers are found to complicate the task of achieving widespread education in a number of India's states, while other states are already experiencing declines in their school-age population. Demographic growth also contributes to poverty, and increasing divergence in social conditions among the states. As population growth slows in the country overall, the labour force continues to grow relatively fast, with difficult consequences for employment. But national economic growth could be accelerated by the 'demographic bonus' of the declining proportion of dependents to workers in the population.
The book is reasonably optimistic about India's food prospects: the country can continue to feed itself. It can also enjoy higher levels of energy use, manufacturing, and modern forms of transport, while experiencing less chemical pollution. India's cities can become cleaner and healthier places to live. Perhaps the most difficult environmental issue, and the one most strongly related to population growth, is water. Some states also face severe pressures on common property resources. A policy chapter concludes the book. India's future problems are large, but in principle manageable. However, whether the country will actually achieve sustainable development for all is another matter.
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Explores the links between population growth and economic development in India, with particular reference to issues of the environment and human development. On present trends India is set to become the world's largest population, and this book seeks to give a general account of India's future under this expected growth.
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1. Overview ; DEMOGRAPHY ; 2. India's Population: The Past ; 3. Mortality Trends and the Health Transition ; 4. The Continuing Fertility Transition ; 5. India's Population: The Future ; 6. Migration and Urbanization: Retrospect and Prospects ; SOCIAL SECTORS AND THE ECONOMY ; 7. Education and Literacy ; 8. Employment ; 9. The Condition of the People ; 10. The Economy, the Past, and the Future ; POPULATION, FOOD, AND ENVIRONMENT ; 11. Prospects for Food Demand and Supply ; 12. Modelling the Environment ; 13. India's Urban Environment, Current Knowledge, and Future Possibilities ; 14. Water ; 15. Common Pool Resources ; POLICY ; 16. Lessons and Policies
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A valuable reference book and a model of quantitative analysis and sound prediction.
Explores the linkages between population growth and economic growth in India, with particular reference to the environment and human development.
Builds on the population projections from the Indian census of 2001.
Considers issues such as migration and urbanization, education and literacy, employment, the economy, food demand and supply, water and the environment.
Draws out the extensive policy implications that follow from this analysis
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Tim Dyson is Professor of Population Studies at the Development Studies Institute at the London School of Economics. Educated in England and Canada, he has held visiting positions at the Australian National University in Canberra, the International Institute of Population Sciences in Mumbai, and the American University of Beirut. Between 1994 and 1996 he was President of the British Society for Population Studies, and in 2001 he was elected a Fellow of the British
Academy. Robert Cassen is Visiting Professor at the London School of Economics. He has held positions at Queen Elizabeth House and St. Antony's College at the University of Oxford, the Institute of
Development Studies at the University of Sussex, and the World Bank. Leela Visaria is Professor at the Gujarat Institute of Development Research, Ahmedabad. She has been an Associate Professor at the Sardar Patel Institute of Economic and Social Research in Ahmedabad, a research demographer at the Population Reference Bureau in Washington DC, and a demographer at the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) in Bangkok, Thailand.
Les mer
Explores the linkages between population growth and economic growth in India, with particular reference to the environment and human development.
Builds on the population projections from the Indian census of 2001.
Considers issues such as migration and urbanization, education and literacy, employment, the economy, food demand and supply, water and the environment.
Draws out the extensive policy implications that follow from this analysis
Les mer
Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9780199283828
Publisert
2005
Utgiver
Vendor
Oxford University Press
Vekt
640 gr
Høyde
233 mm
Bredde
156 mm
Dybde
24 mm
Aldersnivå
P, 06
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Heftet
Antall sider
440