China's rising status in the global economy alongside recent economic stagnation in Europe and the United States has led to considerable speculation that we are in the early stages of a transition in power relations. Commentators have tended to treat this transitional period as a novelty, but history is in fact replete with such systemic transitions-sometimes with perilous results. Can we predict the future by using the past? And, if so, what might history teach us? With Transition Scenarios, David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson identify some predictors for power transitions and take readers through possible scenarios for future relations between China and the United States. Each scenario is embedded within a particular theoretical framework, inviting readers to consider the assumptions underlying it. Despite recent interest in the topic, the probability and timing of a power transition-and the processes that might bring it about-remain woefully unclear. Rapkin and Thompson's application of the theoretical tools of international relations to crucial transitions in history helps clarify the current situation and also sheds light on possible future scenarios.
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China's rising status in the global economy alongside recent economic stagnation in Europe and the United States has led to considerable speculation that we are in the early stages of a transition in power relations. The authors take readers through possible scenarios for future relations between China and the United States.
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"While there is no shortage of books concerned with US-China relations and the potential for conflict with China's rise, Transition Scenarios is the first to systematically employ a scenario-building or 'forward reasoning' methodology-and it does so carefully and to great effect, advancing a growing literature in the field of international relations." (Steve Chan, University of Colorado)"
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Produktdetaljer

ISBN
9780226040479
Publisert
2013-09-24
Utgiver
Vendor
University of Chicago Press
Vekt
397 gr
Høyde
23 mm
Bredde
15 mm
Dybde
2 mm
Aldersnivå
UU, UP, 05
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Heftet
Antall sider
288

Om bidragsyterne

David P. Rapkin is associate professor emeritus of political science at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. William R. Thompson is Distinguished Professor and the Donal A. Rogers Professor of Political Science at Indiana University. He lives in Bloomington, IN, and is the author or coauthor of numerous books, including The Arc of War, also published by the University of Chicago Press.