Chinese economy continued slowing down in 2015, and the growth will be moderating in 2016. In the shadow of the global business cycle and China’s real estate cycle, Chinese economy will face severe headwinds in 2016. Meanwhile, a lot of new industries and new growth engines have been fostered in Chinese economy, making it a mixture of stagnancy and flourishing. The basis of next round rapid growth is being built in the process of deepening adjustment. In the face of two main kinds of economic risks in 2016, high attention must be paid to the following issues: the reshaping of the incentive system. The recovery of the real estate market, the evolvement of the world economy, and the re-orientation of the macro economic policy. The bottom of Chinese economy is expected to appear in the second half in 2016, and steadily rebound in late 2017. Returning to the rapid growth track.
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The Chinese economy continued slowing down in 2015, and growth will be moderate in 2016. In the shadow of the global business cycle and China's real estate cycle, the Chinese economy will face severe headwinds in 2016.
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1. General Comments and Forecast1.1. Review of the economic performance in 20151.2. Prospect of economic growth in 20161.3. Macro-economic index forecast for 2015-20162. 2015, the year unveiling the crucial stage of the new normal state2.1. Constant downturn of economic growth2.2. Overall Emergence of Deflation 2.3. Persistent Downturn of Business Climate Index2.4. Deep Differentiation of the Economic Structure2.5. The Bust of Stock Market Bubble2.6. Ineffective macro-economic control policy3. 2016 in the process of heading for bottom3.1. The basic logic and forecast for the economic bottom 3.2. Two kinds of risks China will be confronted with in 20163.3. Four key issues in 20164. Major Conclusions and Policy Suggestions4.1. Review and Outlook4.2. Reorientation of Macroeconomic Policy
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Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9781844645084
Publisert
2018-01-01
Utgiver
Vendor
Paths Publishing Group
Vekt
333 gr
Aldersnivå
P, 06
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Innbundet
Antall sider
134
Forfatter