Pattern-recognition prowess served our ancestors well, but today we are confronted by a deluge of data that is far more abstract, complicated, and difficult to interpret. The number of possible patterns that can be identified relative to the number that are genuinely useful has grown exponentially - which means that the chances that a discovered pattern is useful is rapidly approaching zero. Patterns in data are often used as evidence, but how can you tell if that evidence is worth believing? We are hard-wired to notice patterns and to think that the patterns we notice are meaningful. Streaks, clusters, and correlations are the norm, not the exception. Our challenge is to overcome our inherited inclination to think that all patterns are significant, as in this age of Big Data patterns are inevitable and usually coincidental. Through countless examples, The Phantom Pattern Problem is an engaging read that helps us avoid being duped by data, tricked into worthless investing strategies, or scared out of getting vaccinations.
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Patterns in data are often used as evidence, but how can you tell if that evidence is worth believing? The Phantom Pattern Problem helps readers avoid being duped by data, tricked into worthless investing strategies, or scared out of getting vaccinations. Becoming a sceptical consumer of data is important in this age of Big Data.
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1: Survival of the Sweaty Patter-Processors 2: Predicting What is Predictable 3: Duped and Deceived 4: Fooled Again and Again 5: The Paradox of Big Data 6: Fruitless Searches 7: The Reproducibility Crisis 8: Who Stepped In It? 9: Seeing Things for What They Are
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...a worthwhile and enjoyable read, and so I happily recommend the book to anyone interested in the epistemological issues raised by Big Data.
Offers readers the chance to engage critically with Big Data in an engaging and entertaining way Original stock-purchasing strategies It covers a wide range of real world examples, such as random drug testing in the NFL, crime rates in small towns, stock trading strategies, and the correlation between iPod sales and murders
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Gary Smith is the Fletcher Jones Professor of Economics at Pomona College. Gary Smith is the Fletcher Jones Professor of Economics at Pomona College. He received his Ph.D. in Economics from Yale University and was an Assistant Professor there for seven years. He has won two teaching awards and written more than eighty academic papers and thirteen books. Jay Cordes is a data scientist who enjoys tackling challenging problems, including how to guide future data scientists away from the common pitfalls he saw in the corporate world. He earned a Math degree from Pomona College and more recently graduated from UC Berkeley's Master of Information and Data Science (MIDS) program.
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Offers readers the chance to engage critically with Big Data in an engaging and entertaining way Original stock-purchasing strategies It covers a wide range of real world examples, such as random drug testing in the NFL, crime rates in small towns, stock trading strategies, and the correlation between iPod sales and murders
Les mer

Produktdetaljer

ISBN
9780198864165
Publisert
2020
Utgiver
Vendor
Oxford University Press
Vekt
370 gr
Høyde
202 mm
Bredde
136 mm
Dybde
18 mm
Aldersnivå
P, 06
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Innbundet
Antall sider
240

Om bidragsyterne

Gary Smith is the Fletcher Jones Professor of Economics at Pomona College. Gary Smith is the Fletcher Jones Professor of Economics at Pomona College. He received his Ph.D. in Economics from Yale University and was an Assistant Professor there for seven years. He has won two teaching awards and written more than eighty academic papers and thirteen books. Jay Cordes is a data scientist who enjoys tackling challenging problems, including how to guide future data scientists away from the common pitfalls he saw in the corporate world. He earned a Math degree from Pomona College and more recently graduated from UC Berkeley's Master of Information and Data Science (MIDS) program.